There will be no civil war, at least not in the traditional sense.
Who’s going to do the fighting? An army of middle aged conservatives that can barely bend over to tie their shoes? Lefty soy boys afraid to use a pair of kitchen scissors? Hypomanic urban punks aiming pistols sideways with arms out? The cavalry ain’t coming folks.
Sober
You bring up some interesting points here. Any supposed revolution or civil unrest will not be proactively planned. I look at how far the quality of life for the average American has slid and yet nothing changes. The people tolerate it.
Where did it all begin?
It’s all so very clever, because the change has been so gradual.
I mean we can trace this process all the way back since the advent of the Federal Reserve system in 1913.
Shortly thereafter, the private banking elite chose the United States to be the cudgel for the New World Order. Since 1913, the United States has fought nothing but endless war. And yet, Americans salute the flag and talk about how the United States is fighting for freedom. Talk about brainwashing….
We can trace the cultural changes going back to the emergence of the modern feminist movement in the 1920s as a catalyst to break up the family unit and the rollout of socialism in the 1930s. We became government junkies. We can discuss how cultural Marxism began to flourish in the late 1950s and early 1960s.
Deficit spending and immigration beats down the worker
We can discuss how the average worker began to get beaten down in the early to mid-1970s as businesses and industries were offshored and the Federal and state governments began running ever larger budget deficits. The concept of systemically underreporting inflation became the rage as the purchasing power of the dollar plummeted.
At the same time American industries were being dismantled, the federal government began proactively allowing up to 100 million immigrants into the country since 1980. These non-congruent immigrants were willing to work for next to nothing. The concomitant result is that the wage base has been driven down. Workers just don’t make enough money anymore.
And yet the squeeze continues. The only conclusion I can make is that our own government views its citizenry as the enemy. The government’s hidden objectives differ greatly than what’s publicly portrayed.
Despite all this, despite all the lies, despite all of the demoralization techniques, the people take it.
I know firsthand how far things have slid since the early 70s. It’s gradual. It’s so gradual that people don’t know when to say when. It seems they never will.
What about home ownership?
It used to be much less expensive to own a home and maintain it. It used to be much less expensive to raise a family properly.
Over the decades, these basic concepts continue to get more and more expensive every year.
We can just say that things are out of control and ready to collapse or we can conclude that this was the plan all along, since the system’s engineers don’t want us owning anything anyway. They want us to be a nation of renters. They want us to rent our cars, our furniture, and especially our homes. Renters lack stability and that’s what our owners want.
Perhaps in another 20 years, the concept of owning a home will be as alien as a gold backed US dollar. This is why I’ve always maintained that we are to be the landlord, since we can derive a cash flow that grows over the years. Using information technology and economies of scale, private equity firms have run the numbers and are doing the same.
The transformation and wealth consolidation continue
A stupid citizenry is unable to articulate the process of impoverishment
As the deficit spending levels mount, this injected money ends up on the balance sheets of those who can capture it. All of this deficit spending ends up on the balance sheets of the largest and most influential corporations in each sector. It ends up on the balance sheets of the landlords and property owners. Those who own the stock of these corporations benefit the most. It’s a slow motion wealth and power consolidation that most are unable to articulate.
While homeowners may experience a substantial rise in their nominal equity values, their costs continue to spiral higher as well. Higher market values mean higher property taxes and higher maintenance costs.
The only residential real estate market participants who truly profit are those who can charge ever higher rents to offset these costs. SFR investors can take advantage of the tax codes to pay little to nothing in income taxes. Why do you think the private equity firms are quickly cornering the residential real estate market? Although the percentage of properties that they own are small, their effect on the margin is tremendous. Yes, as long as private equity is involved in residential real estate, the concept of affordability will mean nothing.
What’s truly important to my readers?
In terms of what we say on this blog, we don’t get too caught up with much of the things that others fuss about. I’m not going to get wrapped up in the latest assassination, unless it does affect our investing activities.
The readers of this blog also recognize that there is a transformation occurring. It’s not a collapse in the traditional sense. I suspect that the average reader here already has a cursory comprehension of how the financial and economic systems work. Since there’s nothing we can do to change the circumstances of the many, we concentrate on figuring out how to not fall behind, at least financially. Of course, we talk about other things as well.
After all, I don’t see any revolutions taking place. Most people seem to just be like lab rats in an experiment receiving electric shocks. The people make a fuss and vent their frustrations like rats getting zapped, but they seem to take it.
I see a lot of drug use and depression. I see a lot of road rage. I see the people addicted to pornography. I see people getting sicker. I see a lot of YOLO spending. I see a lot of broken homes and miscegenation. I see a lot of gambling, etc. the average person is unable to articulate his circumstances and thus, turns his frustrations inward.
What’s the sense of getting upset with stuff? Does it really matter in the larger picture? Of course, we are to try to help others understand their predicament. This is why I have my blog. It’s why we’re on this planet. However, I suggest we put our noses to the grindstone and figure out ways to overcome the obstacles that overwhelm others. Even if the revolution is televised, most of us will just be sitting in front of the TV passively watching it anyway.
Polymarket
BREAKING: Chances of Zohran Mamdani winning the New York City mayoral election at all-time highs, 85% chance.
https://x.com/Polymarket/status/1968755441850097819?s=19
Today’s economic data dump looks pretty good. The Philly Fed comes in better than expected and jobless claims come in 10,000 lower.
The Philly Fed “prices paid” component comes in below estimates.
Initial Jobless Claims
Act: 231K Cons: 241K Prev: 264K
Continuing Jobless Claims
Act: 1,920K Cons: 1,950K Prev: 1,927K
Jobless Claims 4-Week Avg.
Act: 240.00K Cons: Prev: 240.75K
Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index (Sep)
Act: 23.2 Cons: 1.7 Prev: -0.3
Philly Fed Business Conditions (Sep)
Act: 31.5 Prev: 25.0
Philly Fed CAPEX Index (Sep)
Act: 12.50 Prev: 38.40
Philly Fed Employment (Sep)
Act: 5.6 Prev: 5.9
Philly Fed New Orders (Sep)
Act: 12.4 Prev: -1.9
Philly Fed Prices Paid (Sep)
Act: 46.80 Prev: 66.80
I wonder how much say president Trump has in this deal? As soon as the United States government takes a multi-billion dollar steak in intel, Nvidia announces a partnership and the stock is off to the races this morning….
Nvidia to Invest $5 Bln in Intel as Part of AI and PC Products Partnership — Update
09/18/25 7:19 AM
Nvidia will inject $5 billion into Intel as part of a collaboration between the tech giants to jointly develop custom data center and personal computing products.
Nvidia will buy Intel stock at a purchase price of $23.28 a share.
Shares of Intel shot up nearly 31% in premarket trading to $24.90 Thursday.
Nvidia shares rose 2.7% to $174.86.
Intel will build Nvidia-custom x86 CPUs that Nvidia will integrate into its AI infrastructure platforms and will also build chip systems to be used in Nvidia chiplets that power PCs.
“This historic collaboration tightly couples NVIDIA’s AI and accelerated computing stack with Intel’s CPUs and the vast x86 ecosystem,” said Nvidia Chief Executive Jensen Huang.
Yes, the United States government currently owns 10% of Intel. Quite a return in just a month..
MW Intel’s stock is soaring. Why Nvidia is investing $5 billion in the chip maker.
09/18/25 7:43 AM
The Nvidia investment is the latest source of relief for Intel investors after the U.S. government took a stake in the chip company last month
Nvidia said it would be investing $5 billion in Intel’s stock.
Shares of Intel Corp. are soaring in Thursday’s premarket action as the company has struck a new deal with Nvidia Corp.
The companies said early Thursday that Intel (INTC) will design and manufacture chips with Nvidia (NVDA), which will also make a $5 billion investment into Intel’s stock.
The chip makers are collaborating to design and manufacture “multiple generations” of custom chips for data centers and personal computers, Nvidia said in a statement on Thursday.
Nvidia said it and Intel are focused “on seamlessly connecting Nvidia and Intel architectures” using its interconnect technology called NVLink, which allows multiple graphics processing units to connect to each other or to central processing units for fast and efficient communication between chips in data centers. The interconnect enables scaling to handle intense artificial-intelligence and high-performance computing workloads.
“This historic collaboration tightly couples Nvidia’s AI and accelerated computing stack with Intel’s CPUs and the vast x86 ecosystem – a fusion of two world-class platforms,” Nvidia Chief Executive Jensen Huang said in a statement.
Intel’s stock was up nearly 30% on the announcement, while Nvidia shares were up just over 3%.
It’s the latest source of relief for Intel and its investors after the company agreed in August to sell a 10% stake in the company to the U.S. government.
I recall how the S&P 500 bottomed at 666 during the GFC. I’m noticing right now that it is trading at 6,666. Exactly 10 times higher. I wonder if that’s a sign.
We all know how this hidden hand works. What better way to cause a crisis than when the S&P 500 is selling at 6,666?
I’m thinking markets be disappointed this afternoon.
Market barely budged, but the 10-year is a tick below 4%.
10-year doesn’t like Powell’s speech.
I’ve been cutting down some trees the past few days. It takes three cuts to bring down an upright tree, as well as persuasion with a felling wedge to move it in a controlled fashion. Baby cuts don’t do anything much and just butcher the job. You have to cut with the courage of your conviction.
My portfolio was up $800 a few hours ago now it’s up $23
The small caps can get manhandled. The S&P 500 barely budging.
Watch out for the recession! 🤣🤣🤣💩💩💩
Overall, hot numbers. Spending up, import prices up, too….
Retail Sales (MoM) (Aug)
Act: 0.6% Cons: 0.2% Prev: 0.6%
Core Retail Sales (MoM) (Aug)
Act: 0.7% Cons: 0.4% Prev: 0.4%
Retail Sales (YoY) (Aug)
Act: 5.00% Cons: Prev: 4.10%
Retail Sales Ex Gas/Autos (MoM) (Aug)
Act: 0.7% Cons: 0.4% Prev: 0.3%
Retail Control (MoM) (Aug)
Act: 0.7% Cons: 0.4% Prev: 0.5%
Export Price Index (MoM) (Aug)
Act: 0.3% Cons: -0.1% Prev: 0.3%
Export Price Index (YoY) (Aug)
Act: 3.4% Prev: 2.4%
Import Price Index (MoM) (Aug)
Act: 0.3% Cons: -0.2% Prev: 0.2%
Import Price Index (YoY) (Aug)
Act: 0.0% Prev: -0.2%
Industrial data coming in largely as expected with a couple ticks to the upside. None of today’s data is helping a larger than expected rate cut tomorrow.
Capacity Utilization Rate (Aug)
Act: 77.4% Cons: 77.4% Prev: 77.4%
Industrial Production (YoY) (Aug)
Act: 0.87% Cons: Prev: 1.27%
Industrial Production (MoM) (Aug)
Act: 0.1% Cons: -0.1% Prev: -0.4%
Manufacturing Production (MoM) (Aug)
Act: 0.2% Cons: -0.2% Prev: -0.1%
Further to Stones longstanding thesis re perpetual bid for single family homes in America. According to RFK, If current accumulation continues 3 companies will own 60% of US single family housing by 2030 https://x.com/newstart_2024/status/1967835872817971327
There goes the religious communist leader, Pope Leo again. He’s more into his liberation theology than preaching the Gospel…..
‘We’re in big trouble’: pope concerned at Elon Musk’s trillion-dollar proposed pay
Angela Giuffrida in Rome
Pope Leo said “we’re in big trouble” when it comes to the ever-widening pay gap between the rich and poor, citing Elon Musk, who may be on course to become the world’s first trillionaire.
Leo made the remarks while criticising executive pay packages during his first interview with the media.
Reflecting on why the world was so polarised, he said one significant factor was the “continuously wider gap between the income levels of the working class and the money that the wealthiest receive”.
“CEOs that 60 years ago might have been making four to six times more than what the workers are receiving … 600 times more [now],” the pontiff said in excerpts of the interview conducted by Elise Ann Allen, a senior correspondent with the Catholic newspaper Crux as part of a forthcoming biography.
“Yesterday [there was] the news that Elon Musk is going to be the first trillionaire in the world. What does that mean and what’s that about? If that is the only thing that has value any more, then we’re in big trouble.”
Earlier this month, the board of the electric car maker Tesla said it had proposed a new trillion-dollar pay package for Musk, its chief executive and largest shareholder, if he hit targets set by the company.
Outlining the incentive package, which is unprecedented in corporate history, in a stock market update, the company said: “Yes, you read that correctly.”
Musk, who also owns X.com and SpaceX, will have to increase the value of Tesla from just over $1tn now to $8.5tn over 10 years.
Leo, elected in May as the first US pope after the death of Pope Francis, also spoke about his first few months as pontiff, saying: “There’s still a huge learning curve ahead of me.”
The pope, who turned 70 on Sunday, has so far shown to be much more low-key than his predecessor, even if they shared similar progressive political views.
Francis often clashed with the US president, Donald Trump, over his hardline immigration policies, while Leo, formerly Cardinal Robert Prevost, also criticised Trump’s policies on his X account before becoming pope.
Brian Burch, Trump’s new ambassador to the Vatican, who was sharply critical of Francis, gave Leo a chocolate birthday cake during a meeting on Saturday in a bid to nurture friendly relations.
I am not sure Bob Prevost is going to be around for very long. I had thought someone conservative would be the one to bring the end time.
Giving a chocolate cake is symbolically akin to giving someone a shit sandwich to eat. Not for nothing Pantone colour of the year is Mocha Mousse. Even the Pantone main page looks like the 💩 emoji.
The prophecy of the Popes is dead. However, the math for its 2027 fulfillment is still out there. Leo is a piece of Edomite cardboard. He stands for nothing, except a continuation of Francis and his sodomite ways.
Empire State Manufacturing Index comes in at a -8.7, versus a consensus of +4.3.
Every little bit of bad economic news helps the FED dove case.
I have been studying the problem of fertility rates and think that is the problem that leads to collapse. Feminism is squarely to blame for this, so many mothers tell their daughters (and have told their daughters in the previous two generations) that career and personal pursuits are more important than having children. I have mapped out the previous three generations in the constellation of people that I know and the Total Fertility Rate (TFR) keeps dropping – from 7 to 4.8 to 3 for my generation to a current 0.5 for my childrens generation. That one has the potential right now to reach 1.0. I even cherry pick some of the women to include a couple of outlier single moms with 2 and 3 children respectively. Its dismal. TFR of 2.1 is required just for replacement, so take 10 random women from 20 to 40 years old that you know of and add up their children – see if you get 21. I couldn’t.
No point having a revolution, there is nothing to fight for. It’s over.
It seems for the 30ish women I know of, two children is the number. My parents had four children and so did my wife’s family. Of course, our families had a Mom at home and our dads worked. My dad put four kids through catholic school elementary and high school, bought his home, as in paid off, purchased several cars etc. Those were the days my friend!
Stone is right, it started at feminism. Feminism was not a spontaneous uprising of the women – it required legal changes by the top men in society and they are of the Cainite/Hittite/Edomite line.
I could see some hope if there was some sort of systemic legal change making a move on feminism and incentive to form families and have (something on the order of 4) children. Nothing forthcoming.
It is a seed war, and it started, in the beginning…
This is what the whore of Babylon is up against, all “isms” noted are in play: feminism, transgenderism, humanism, transhumanism, transvestism, wokism, sadism, atheism, hedonism, anti-semitism, monetarism, socialism, liberalism, conservatism, communism, zionism, corporatism, capitalism, fascism, triadism, empiricism, authoritarianism, totalitarianism, populism, monotheism, polytheism, scientism, progessism, anarchism, racism, terrorism, bio-terrorism, traitorism, environmentalism, anarchism, sexism, behaviorism, collectivism, mongrelism, militarism, eugenecism, plagiarism, autism, americanism, statism, elitism, phallicism, paganism, despotism, nazism, ageism, pauperism, barbarism, egotism, futurism, globalism, genetically modified organism, cannibalism, kabbalism, hypnotism, legalism, narcissism, skepticism, pacifism, ostracism, symbolism, satanism, mysticism, nihilism, dogmatism, fetishism, cynicism, fatalism, darwinism, moronism, centralism, cretinism, Malthusianism, mesmerism, dualism, eroticism, magnetism, pluralism, quietism, dadaism, cabalism, darbyism, chimerism, doctrinism, idolism, mammonism. marranism, poplarism, robotism, squatterism, talmudism,
I like to point out that some on the left are violent and commit violence as well as some on the right.
I have seen leftists attack people who don’t go along with them. Maybe there won’t be a civil war but mass riots do and will happen. Not all leftists are soy boys. The violent ones are probably paid pros directed by the higher ups. Civil war requires coordination from the top and definitely won’t be grass roots.
I agree! A civil war like we had years ago is not likely, but civil as in citizens fighting in dust ups in various locations or regions is very likely, in my opinion. This could all lead to some form of Marshall Law being implemented. Don’t think in terms of the North vs the South. Think militia.
I suspect the next civil war will look more like a breakdown in law and order like what happened with the George Floyd riots. It will not look like the first civil war with two armies fighting. There will be small gangs fighting each other and general anarchy. Law enforcement will be lax to nonexistent. This anarchy will pave the way for a new world order dictatorship and the mark. This usually is the result of inflationary monetary policy like we have now.
Watch the movie, Shooter!
Another patsy is blamed for an inside job….
Tyler Robinson, 22-year-old from Utah, ID’d as Charlie Kirk shooting suspect after father ‘turned him in’ — Trump: ‘We have him’
https://nypost.com/2025/09/12/us-news/we-have-him-trump-says-suspect-in-custody-for-charlie-kirk-assassination
Don’t bother looking into the imposter state in the middle east!
I’m not going to research this one as I can automatically tell it is a staged event.
They sure wrap these events up faster than fast. shooting, autopsy, obituary, funeral service, investigation, legal disclousres, nationwide promotion all within a few days. WOW! Then someone grandma passes from old age and it takes a few weeks to get things moving thru all of that. Why would this particular shooting be commented on by the President of the USA…. What about all the other shootings and violent acts this month and year. why is this story on every news channel and being commented on non stop. These fake events causes fear, increased law enforcement budgets, consumerism and the yolo thoughts, for those that buy into it.
If or when any revolution is televised, it will be pre planned theater with corporate sponsers and advertising.
Hoses 4:6. My people are destroyed for lack of knowledge: because thou hast rejected knowledge, I will also reject thee, that thou shalt be no priest to me: seeing thou hast forgotten the law of thy YHVH, I will also forget thy children.
We are reaping what we have sown. We have become easy prey for the SOS. Culturally, we have been indoctrinated. Just look at how innocent television started out. Morals, good examples, families with a dad and mom. Then came the 60’s!