Collapse and transformation; asset prices and gold continue rising

Note to reader: By most traditional measures, the economy continues to power along. Current GDP estimates indicate an economy growing between 4 and 5%. Other than during the emergence from the covid lows, headline economic growth has not been this robust in at least 40 years.

However, if we wipe away the veneer, there’s an ugly underbelly. I don’t see the economy collapsing in the traditional sense, rather it’s transforming and the speed of this transformation is breathtaking.

The typical wage earner is getting left in the dust, while the asset owners continue to move ahead at a phenomenal clip.

To wit, the prices of stocks, as well as gold and silver continue escalating.

Despite what we read in the press, housing costs and house values also continue to climb nationwide. Sellers are withdrawing, because they realize how much money it costs to sell a house and unless they can find a replacement property, they stay put. This is not unprecedented and I observe other countries who struggle with this phenomenon, like in Argentina and Brazil, where only those with dollars can buy property.

Yes, in many regards, the United States economy and financial system is rapidly becoming a centrally managed, second-world system. All I need to do is look at all of the economic data that are not being reported in a timely fashion anymore. Even the Federal Reserve is having difficulty figuring out monetary policy as there are scant economic data available.

Why is this? The current monetary system seems to be in a slow motion, but accelerating, intentional demolition. The current world order, one in which the United States runs ever increasing trade deficits to fund the world with dollars, is collapsing. Those with dollars are now looking for a home and these dollar holders are buying any asset they can get their hands on.

As technology advances, the trillion-dollar firms find it much easier to cut their employment by tens of thousands. I’ve included a Reuters article illustrating this. Amazon shareholders continue to make incredible amounts of money, while the wage earners are competing in an ever shallower wage pool.

Amazon axes 16,000 jobs as it pushes AI and efficienc

Jan 28 (Reuters) – Amazon confirmed 16,000 corporate job cuts on Wednesday, completing a plan for around 30,000 since October, while leaving open the possibility of further reductions.

Reuters first reported last week that Amazon was planning a second round of job cuts as part of its broader goal under CEO Andy Jassy, who ‍has been trying to reduce bureaucracy and abandon underperforming businesses.

Amazon said on Tuesday it was closing its remaining bricks-and-mortar Fresh grocery stores and Go markets, despite years of effort, and said it was dropping its Amazon One biometric payment system, which ⁠scans the palm of a customer’s hand.

Although 30,000 represents a small portion of Amazon’s 1.58 million employees, who are mostly in fulfillment centers and warehouses, it is nearly 10% of its corporate workforce and represents ‍the largest job cuts in its three-decades, surpassing the 27,000 it pared between late 2022 and early 2023.

The job cuts were necessary to strengthen the company by “reducing layers, increasing ownership, and removing bureaucracy” at Amazon, its top human resources executive, Beth Galetti, said in a post.

Galetti left open the possibility of further reductions, ‌saying some teams will continue to “make adjustments as appropriate”.

The latest cuts mark the second major round of layoffs in three months after Amazon pared 14,000 jobs in October saying at the time that artificial intelligence and concerns over shifting corporate culture were to blame.

Amazon has also said it overhired during the COVID-19 pandemic, when demand for online shopping skyrocketed.

“Some of you might ask if this is the beginning of a new rhythm – where we announce broad reductions every few months,” Galetti said in Wednesday’s note. “That’s not our plan,” she said.

‘PROJECT DAWN’

Amazon on Tuesday mistakenly sent an email appearing to refer to the layoff plan as “Project Dawn” to some Amazon Web Services staff, unsettling thousands of workers.

The full scope of the cuts could not be learned, but employees from multiple AWS units, the Alexa voice assistant, Prime Video, devices, advertising and last mile delivery, among others, indicated online and in emails to Reuters that they had be impacted.

Amazon, which began the corporate job cuts on Tuesday by announcing its plans to close the Fresh and Go stores, did not respond to ‌a Reuters request for comment.

The job cuts also underscore how artificial intelligence is changing corporate workforce dynamics. Significant improvements in AI assistants ⁠are helping enterprises execute duties from routine administrative tasks to complex coding problems with rapid speed and precision, driving widespread adoption.

Jassy said last summer that rising use of AI tools would mean more automation of duties, leading to corporate job losses.

Executives at the World Economic Forum’s annual ⁠meeting in Davos said last week that while jobs would disappear, new ones would spring up, with two telling Reuters ‌that AI would be used as an excuse by companies planning to cut jobs anyway.

Tech giants, including Amazon, Facebook-parent Meta Platforms and Microsoft, sharply ramped up ‌hiring during the COVID-19 pandemic demand surge and have lately been restructuring. UPS, Pinterest and ASML all announced staff reductions in recent days.

Amazon has been investing in robotics ‍at its warehouses ‍to speed up packaging and deliveries for its e-commerce segment, reduce reliance on human labor and cut costs.

Shares in Amazon, which ‌is set to report quarterly results next week, were up less than 1% in pre-market trading.

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2 thoughts on “Collapse and transformation; asset prices and gold continue rising

  1. Regarding the transformation, it seems the world is losing more confidence in the fiat system, not just the dollar. The dollar is the cleanest dirty shirt in the laundry and smart money is in hard assets, as you have pointed out many times. I’m guessing there will be a period of destabilization before the digital system is implemented. Stone, how do you see the transition happening?

    1. Out of chaos, comes order.

      What is the chaos? It’s already happening. It will accelerate and will include a global conflict.

      Ordo ab chao

      Don’t ever think that the Cain clan is losing control. For well over a hundred years, the futurists specifically discussed the events of this time.

      The prerequisite global wealth and power have been accumulated and consolidated. These elites used their system to specifically engineer this amazing feat. Now they can burn the bridge behind them and let us deal with the consequences.

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